Statement
by H.E. Dr. Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury,
the Hon'ble Foreign Adviser at the Defence Services
Command and Staff College, Mirpur Cantonment, Dhaka
A
Proactive Foreign Policy for Bangladesh in Asia: New
directions
18 May 2008
The
ancient Greeks used to say, with a modicum of logic,
as that they were wont to do in an intellectual discourse,
that prior to placing your arguments, you must define
your terms. A statement on 'foreign policy' should,
therefore, must contain what the subject connotes:
Today I shall, for the purpose of this discussion,
take the foreign policy of a country to be the sum-total
of its external interactions flowing from a conscious
decision to advance the country's perceived national
self-interest.
Contemporary literature on foreign policy tends to
be either 'process-oriented' with respect to mostly
developed industrial states, and 'function-oriented',
as with developing or less developed countries. The
former concentrates on detailed analyses of foreign-policy-making
structures with emphasis on such institutions as bureaucracies,
political parties, pressure-groups, and the influence
they exert on policy outcomes (Examples of it would
be Graham Allison's 'Essence of Decision', Morton
Halperin's 'Bureaucratice Politics and Foreign Policy',
and William Wallace's, 'Foreign Policy and the Political
Process').
As to developing countries, the argument has been
made that their institutions, still being rudimentary,
deserve less attention than the 'function' of foreign
policy. This relates to the purposes they are put
to. Their agencies, it has been said, are often small
and too inadequate to wield foreign policy influence
(some notable proponents of this view are B. Korany
in 'Foreign Policy Models and their Empirical Relevance
to Third World Actors', E.B. Weinstein in 'The Uses
of Foreign Policy in Indonesia', and Maurice East
in 'Foreign Policy Making in Small States: Theoretic
Observations on Ugandan Foreign Ministry').
You will appreciate that Bangladesh has characteristics
that are spread across both spectra. Many of its institutions
may not be so evolved, and yet she has strong tradition
of governance, a vibrant media and civil society,
and a political and intellectual heritage that encourages
the citizen's interest in public policy. I shall,
therefore, take an eclectic approach, one of 'models-mix'.
The methodology will be analytical, i.e., it will
rely on the proposition that policy rests on multiple
determinants including geographical location, historic
tradition, national interests, economic and security
needs. To these could be added ideological beliefs,
religious or nationalistic for instance, and elite-behaviour
and perceptions. This is how I shall proceed as I
seek to explain and examine why Bangladesh behaves
in the international setting as she does, either deliberately
or reactively, and how she should shape that behaviour
in order to derive maximum benefit from her inter-state
interactions.
For Bangladesh, the need for retention of flexibility,
and thereby the maintenance of a sufficient of maneuverability
to preserve sovereignty was compounded by the urgent
need for external support for development. These two
aspirations, the quest for security and the search
for resources, became the twin goals around which
foreign policy aims and objectives were developed.
They emphasized the felt-need to live in concord with,
but distinct from, the powerful neighbour, India.
The 'concord' was necessary because geographically
Bangladesh was almost 'India-locked'. The distinction
was essential because Bangladesh's own identity could
only be defined in those terms. Her aspirations, therefore,
require Bangladesh to seek a high level of international
interactions.
Of the options that a weaker or smaller neighbour
may adopt on a regional matrix, one is what the Swedish
analyst Erling Bjol has described as 'pilot-fish behaviour',
whereby a fish tends to tack closer to a larger one
in order to avoid being eaten. This thesis flowed
from his study of Finland's relations with the former
Soviet Union. A second option is for the Small State
to make herself as difficult as possible for any potential
adversary to overcome her, a policy that Prime Minister
Erlander espoused for Sweden. A third would be what
Myanmar has at times chosen for herself, i.e., dropping
out of the international system altogether, a policy-line
explained by Ralph Pettman in his 'Small Power Politics'.
Bangladesh's preferred policy is more in consonance
with the second option, with greater emphasis on political
deterrence built by creating a web of international
linkages, that would heighten international stakes
and interests in her, and reduce the power-gaps with
neighbours and other regional actors.
Bangladesh's interactions with others in the international
arena led to relations with principally four categories
of States (i.e., major development partners, regional
countries, China, and West Asia), four international
organizations (the UN system, the Commonwealth, the
OIC and SAARC) and four trade and financial agencies
(the WTO, the Bretton Woods Institutions, the Asian
Bank and the Islamic Development Bank). These are
the twelve pillars that sustain the structure of the
totality of Bangladesh's foreign policy system. Not
seeing herself as a pre-eminent regional protagonist,
Bangladesh wished to be perceived in a peaceable and
constructive role in the region, and in the global
arenas, evidenced in her active interest in SAARC,
and her high level of engagement with the UN including
in its peace-keeping operations as one of largest
peace-keepers in the world. This attests to the veracity
of the statement made by Martin Wright in his famous
essay "Power Politics", that the chief objective
of smaller powers is the maintenance of greater international
order.
The powerful middle class in Bangladesh, reflected
in its civil society, contribute to this high level
of external interactions. They see themselves as part
of a horizontal international elite with a wider role
to play in the affairs of the world than is dictated
by the objective 'power' of the country. This group
or category in society tends to make up for its lower
pecking-order in 'power-terms' by emphasizing respect
for its 'dignity' through greater international recognition
of its capabilities.
A natural corollary of these characteristics is caution
and circumspection, through the realization that how
the country relates to the world in crucial for its
survival. This makes for avoidance of flashy external
behaviour. Bangladesh sees her interest generally
better served by acting as wider and larger international
grouping such as NAM, or OIC, or LDCs. It helps her
avoid affronting any key or major player which accepts
such behaviour as some kind of international trade
union activity. At the same time it satisfies the
country's craving for acting from a 'moral high ground'
as evidenced in frequent public statements in support
of 'principled positions'. (Here as a footnote, let
me say that we need to bear in mind Henry Kissinger's
warning in his book 'Does America need a Foreign Policy?
Towards Diplomacy in the twenty-first Century', that
"excessive idealism" could lead to crusades
and eventual disillusionment). The consequence of
these factors for Bangladesh is the assumption of
a lower-profile on 'high risk' issues, and a higher
profile on 'low-risk issues'.
As the above analyses will show, the formulation and
conduct of Bangladesh Foreign Policy to date has largely
been within the framework of a 'classical-paradigm'
of normal diplomatic practices. However, the age of
'globalization', which has doubtless raised many challenges
has also opened up opportunities that would unlock
the potentials to bring home the benefits of a 'pro-active'
foreign policy more fully.
The non-technological or the intellectual resources
of the Bangladeshis, and their Socratic tradition
of relentlessly questioning any given proposition
(Amarta Sen's 'The Argumentative Indian' could be
more appropriately called the 'The Argumentative Bangalee')
have spawned many home-grown ideas and concepts on
the socio-political and economic matrix. Examples
would be 'Grameen's micro-credit initiatives or BRAC's
non-formal education. These have been emulated, adapted,
and adopted in many parts of the world. These have
also caused at home a massive societal transformation
including, for instance, the empowerment of women,
that have often also led to strategic partnerships
between the government and the civil society. This
has helped marginalize extremist thought and action
in this country. This has also engendered a deep sense
of pluralism in the society, which is the capital
that must be used to build sustainable institutions
that is part of the current national endeavour. Resultantly,
there is a burgeoning positive image of the country
in the international arena, where it is seen as somewhat
of an island of a calm in an otherwise turbulent region.
The credit for this should largely go to the common
citizen; to the activist who has fought relentlessly
for rights; to the journalist who has laboured to
discuss the truth; to the peace-keeper who under UN
banner has carried the tradition of our fighting men
and women to the distant shores of Africa; to the
policeman who has helped restore peace in Timor; to
the micro-credit manager who has risked his life to
introduce these values in the deserts of Afghanistan;
to the female garment worker who earned the lion's
share in the nations trade-takings; to the expatriate
Bangladeshi who works night and day and sends home
the much needed remittance; to the entrepreneur who
has taken great risks with his small capital in search
of innovation, and to the farmer who is labouring
painfully to bring food to his family, and to the
nation. Today, often amidst a palpable tumult that
reflects the vibrancy and energy in the community,
Bangladeshis may justly derive some comfort from the
prevalent stability.
Globalization should not be a one-way traffic where
Bangladeshis remain passively at the receiving end.
We can and indeed should make it a two-way traffic,
contributing to the phenomenon with what we can, and
we can with much. We should be able to provide theoretical
frameworks to our field-experiences for consideration
of global thought-leaders. This will call for a trickle-up
effect of the ideas tried and tested on our own grounds.
The IT revolution, and the rapidly growing influence
of the civil society world-wide provide us the scope
and conduit for that.
We recognize that the soft power of persuasion is
the principal implement in our hands, that applies
equally to domestic and external relevant actors.
It is also true that our external behaviour is shaped
by factors that have their origins both externally
and internally, or as Professor F.S. Northedge would
have said, by those that are both 'systemic' and 'idiosyncratic'.
Security as a goal, complements the other one, the
quest for development of resources. This is where
the Armed Forces come into the equation. Our forces
are heir the one of the finest military traditions.
We may not have a large one in proportion to our population,
but we have one that must be constantly kept in a
state of readiness for situations that might be demanded
of it, be it peace-keeping in distant lands such as
Africa, or protecting our own land and sea borders.
Armour, capacity for rapid movement, ability to develop
expertise in asymmetrical warfare, the capacity to
move like a fish in oceanic schools among populations
are key. Combat readiness as all times is essential.
Undeniably, the Armed Forces are a component of the
foreign policy system. At all times one must bear
in mind what a British commander told his gunmen's:
'Have faith in God my boys, but keep your powder dry!"
We believe the way we can best aspire to achieve our
twin goals that I spoke of earlier is to pursue a
set of coordinated aims in a calibrated fashion. To
break up these goals into practical sub-components,
or points there are roughly ten. One, stabilizing
our relations with our neighbouring countries including
India and Myanmar; two, fostering cooperation within
multilateral frame works; three, expanding economic
cooperation with developed and other developing countries;
four, ensuring duty-free, quota free access for our
products into foreign markets, five, exploring new
markets for our excess manpower and ensuring their
well-being; six, attracting foreign investments; seven,
negotiating a favourable trading regime within the
WTO, regionally and bilaterally; eight, pursuing an
active role within the UN system; nine, supporting
peace-keeping and peace-building in conflict and post-conflict
zones; and finally, propagating the richness of our
cultural heritage abroad so as to heighten interest
in us as a civilizing agent in the global arena.
As in Mathematics, or in Physics, the search for balance
in the conduct of foreign policy could lead to an
equilibrium that would result in inertia. The kinetic
energy to effect the necessary thrust forward would
only come from the electric impulses generated by
intellectual stimuli. We have already seen how concepts
like micro-credit and non-formal education are being
copied all over the globe. Already many parts of the
world are marching to tunes first piped in Bangladesh.
Bangladesh has the potential to stimulate new ideas.
This capacity is a major asset for us. Once we had
initiated SAARC. Can we not now think of concentric
circles of cooperation, beyond SAARC, involving ASEAN,
East Asia, China and Japan, into a wider 'ASIAN HOME'
to nurture the new 'Asian Century'? For over three
and half centuries since the Westphalian state system
came into being Europe has ruled the roost. Today
the cumulative strains of imperial history has rendered
Europe exhausted. The old does give way to the new.
There is now a visible dawning of a new era where
Asia will assume a dominant role. Can not Asia organize
itself in a way that we move forward in what economists
call the paradigm of the "flying geese formation",
like a flock rising in the wind, with the weaker ones
drawing power and impetus from the flapping of the
wings of the stronger ?
It is not out of place here that Bangladesh must adjust
the conduct of her foreign policy to a nuanced 'Asia-centrism'.
We have remained too long linked to the metropolitan
powers of the former colonial age, and may be so long
our interests required that. But the times are rapidly
changing. Asia is forging ahead at an unprecedented
speed. Our policies need to be realigned to these
global changes, or we shall risk lagging behind.
We must break out of the clap-trap of donor-recipient
relationship, which is a legacy of the past. Perhaps
we do not realize there is more reverse transfer of
resources that we are making to the developed countries
who buy from us. We pay many times more in duties
to them than we receive in aid. Our efforts for easier
market access will and must continue, but the system
is unfairly skewed against us.
On the other hand, it is the booming economies of
Asia that might help shape our future. The power players
of contemporary times are the four units I have named(SAARC,
ASEAN, China, Japan). We must be vigorous in strengthening
our linkages with these actors. As you will have noticed,
as my travels and interactions show, we have already
begun the process. It is our hope that all governments
in the future will continue this process.
At the outset all this may seem like a tall order.
But it is no taller than many others that Asians have
accomplished. Asia's classical heritage provides the
fertile grounds; our capacity to think provides the
capital; and the trillions of dollars worth of sovereign
wealth funds provides the means. History demonstrates
that man succeeds when he takes on more complex challenges
than he often dares. Has it not been aptly said that
man's reach should exceed his grasp what, else are
the heavens for ?